Friday, August 23, 2013

Is Kenya due for another presidential election less than a year after the last election?

Why are we in a campaign mode only 4 months after a general election? Why are Deputy President William Ruto and former Prime Minister Raila Odinga going around the country essentially campaigning? Why the talk of a referendum, tyranny of numbers, revolution, parliamentary system vs presidential system?

Possible scenario: We will soon have a general election to elect a new president/prime minister and deputy.

Why, you may ask? Well, the Deputy President is likely to be at The Hague for a minimum four months continuously especially after his request not to attend some of the proceeding was appealed by the ICC Prosecutor and suspended. The president will join him in November possibly for the same duration. This means for around two months (60 days) that both the president and Deputy President will be away, then the Speaker of National Assembly will be the acting president. The law however says that he can only hold the temporally incumbency of that office for 60 days after which an election must be held.

This kind of puts in context the heightened political activity we've been witnessing lately for me. But it's not a possibility....or is it?